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Builders report little confidence in the
housing’s future
(WASHINGTON)
– The Home Builders association reports its members continue to be in a
funk over the nation’s housing market, indicating that only 1 in 5
believe the market will improve any time soon.
The index
of builder confidence for March was 18, unchanged over the past few
months. The lowest the index has ever been was 18, in December. An index
of 50 suggests as many builders are positive about the future as are
negative.
Said NAHB
President Sandy Dunn, “Our surveys confirm what I’ve been hearing
personally from builders across the country, which is that interested
buyers are out there, but they are either reluctant to go ahead with a
home purchase or they are unable to find mortgage financing they can
afford.”
People returning to New Orleans area
(NEW
ORLEANS) – For those watching the housing recovery in the aftermath of
Hurricane Katrina, the Census Bureau has released numbers that show St.
Bernard and Orleans parishes were the fastest growing counties in the
nation in 2007.
Right after
Katrina in 2005, the same two parishes were listed as the fastest
declining counties in terms of population.
St. Bernard
showed growth of 42.9 percent between July 1, 2006 and July 1, 2007.
Orleans Parish showed a gain of 13.8 percent in the same period.
Following
the Louisiana Parishes on the national list were
Pinal
County
(
Phoenix
area) growing 11.5 percent last year;
Kendall
County
(
Chicago
area) with an increase of 10.6 percent; and the
Dallas
area’s
Rockwall
County
with an increase of 8.6 percent.
Iowa farmland prices up 18 percent in past year
(DES
MOINES, Iowa) – The value of Iowa farmland has gone up an estimated 18
percent in one year, according to the Iowa Farm and Land Chapter of the
Realtors Land Institute.
The
Institute said prices had gone up 11 percent since last September as
investors try to buy up land that produces corn for biofuels. Crop prices
also are surging nationwide.
The
Institute estimates
Iowa
land prices have gone up 67 percent since 2003.
Florida
leads nation in mortgage fraud
(
WASHINGTON
) – The Mortgage Bankers Association has released its annual survey on
mortgage fraud, naming
Florida
as the state with the most serious fraud problem, followed by
Nevada
.
According
to the Mortgage Fraud Case Report, 2007 marked the lowest volume of
mortgage loan originations since 2002, the highest number of delinquencies
and foreclosures, rapid and near complete shutdown of the non-conforming
secondary market and hundreds of announced closures of mortgage
originators.
Following
Florida
and
Nevada
, other states with serious fraud problems were (in order):
Michigan
,
California
,
Utah
,
Georgia
,
Virginia
,
Illinois
,
New York
and
Minnesota
.
Colorado
showed the greatest improvement.
Number of
foreclosure filings decline
(
IRVINE
,
Calif.
) – The foreclosure database RealtyTrac is reporting a sliver of good
news on the housing front, releasing numbers showing that foreclosure
filings were down 4 percent in February compared to the month before.
Still, on a
year-over-year basis, foreclosures are 60 percent ahead of where they were
in February 2007.
Nationwide,
one in every 557 homes is now in foreclosure and RealtyTrac CEO James J.
Saccacio says he believes despite the February downturn, foreclosures have
not peaked.
Nevada
,
California
and
Florida
continued to show the highest number of foreclosure filings.
Industry leaders see some improvement
(
LITTLETON
,
Colo.
) – A REALTrends survey of real estate leaders finds that 67 percent
“strongly” or “somewhat” agree that their market is improving.
Some 14 percent either “disagreed” or “strongly disagreed.”
REALTrends
said that of the 750 industry leaders surveyed, many commented they were
seeing increases in buyer inquiries, open house traffic, and relocation.
Nineteen
percent of those responding said foreclosures and/or short sales were a
significant market problem, with 26 percent somewhat agreeing.
Thirty-four percent stated they strongly or somewhat agree these are
issues in their areas.
Condo sales continue to be challenging
(WASHINGTON) – The Multifamily
Condo Market Index (MCMI) ended 2007 on a low note, with the component of
the index tracking builder confidence in current conditions standing at
18.8, down nearly 11 points from the same time a year ago, according to
the National Association of Home Builders.
“Given
that the condo market became so overheated during the peak of the housing
boom, it is not surprising that the market now continues to struggle,
considering the difficulties in the mortgage sector and the fears about
the economy in general,” said David Seiders, NAHB’s Chief Economist.
“It is going to take time for the extra inventory to be absorbed.”
Builder
expectations for the next six months are only slightly more optimistic:
The component tracking expectations stood at 29.2 in the fourth quarter of
2007. In the fourth quarter of 2006, this component of the index stood at
49.1.
About 28
percent of survey respondents reported higher or somewhat higher sale
cancellation rates in the fourth quarter of 2007 compared to a year
earlier. The average sales cancellation rate in the fourth quarter of 2007
was 19 percent; the median was 12 percent.
Pending home sales decline in Philly region
(DEVON,
Pa.
) – Prudential Fox & Roach Realtors says Pending Home Sales in the
Philadelphia
area declined 6.6 percent in January to an index of 87.
Still, the
index was stronger than sales numbers in November (84.3), October (86.4),
September (78.7) and August (81.3) indices.
Real estate
activity in the five-county Southeastern Pennsylvania fared better than
Southern New Jersey and
Delaware
showing a 2.7 percent decrease from a revised index of 98.8 in December to
96.1 in January.
Pending
home sales are flat
(WASHINGTON)
– NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index of contracts signed in January was
85.9, unchanged from the previous month but 20.9 points below the January
2007 reading of 106.8.
Trade
association chief economist Lawrence Yun said the market appeared to be
stabilizing, “and our members are telling us there’s been a pickup in
shopping activity. Our hope is that the increased traffic of buyers
looking at homes will translate soon into more contract offers.”
Existing-home
sales are forecast to remain flat at about 4.9 million in the first half
of the year before improving to a 5.8-million pace in the second half. The
aggregate existing-home price is projected to decline 1.2 percent to a
median of $216,300 this year, and then increase 3.5 percent to $223,800 in
2009.
Existing home sales down, inventory up
(
WASHINGTON
) – NAR reports existing home sales fell 0.4 percent in January compared
to December, and were 23.4 percent lower than sales in January 2007.
The
inventory of homes on the market rose 5.5 percent to 4.19 million,
representing a 10.3-month supply at the January sales pace. The inventory
rose 18.4 percent compared with January 2007.
The trade
association said the median sales price fell 4.6 percent over the past
year to $201,000.
Foreclosures up, but some areas
improving
(IRVINE,
Calif.
) – The foreclosure database RealtyTrac reports January 2008 foreclosure
filings were up 8 percent over December 2007 and nearly 57 percent higher
than January a year ago.
Although
the overall numbers are bad, CEO James Saccacio said several states
experienced decreasing foreclosure activity from the previous month.
While
Nevada
,
California
and
Florida
continue to lead the country in foreclosures, the rates in
Nevada
and
Florida
are slowing.
Nevada
reported a 45 percent decrease from the previous month and
Florida
a 3 percent decline. Foreclosure activity was up 7 percent in
California
.
Indianapolis is most affordable market
(WASHINGTON)
– The Home Builders report that Indianapolis continues to be the most
affordable housing market in the country and the Los Angeles area remains
the least affordable – a distinction it has held now for more than three
years.
Nationwide,
the Builder’s Housing Opportunity Index showed that 46.6 percent of all
homes sold in the fourth quarter of 2007 were affordable to families
earning the national median income of $59,000.
NAHB
researchers found that 89.5 percent of all homes sold in
Indianapolis
were affordable to residents earning the median household income of
$63,800. In
Los Angeles
, the least affordable market for 13 consecutive quarters, only 6.2
percent of families making the median income of $61,700 could afford
homes.
REAL Trends shows Northeast sales prices up
(
DENVER
) – The REAL Trends market analysis report for the fourth quarter of
2007 indicates homes prices in the Northeast were up an average of 4.5
percent over prices a year ago, while other parts of the country continued
to sag.
Prices were
down 3.5 percent in the South region, down 8.2 percent in the
Midwest
and down 5.8 percent in the West.
The report
said nationally, home prices were down an average of 4.3 percent and total
sales declined 22.6 percent.
Rural real estate still selling well
(KANSAS
CITY) – While most real estate companies are reporting challenging
times, the United County Real Estate franchise – which predominantly
serves rural areas – reports both sales and prices were up for 2007.
The company
said its sales volume hit a record $2.54 billion in 2007, about $10
million higher than 2006, and its average listing sold for 4.1 percent
more than the previous year.
"Technology
advances have broken down many of the barriers to living in rural
areas," said CEO Dan Duffy. "People can now live in the country,
and still have the same access to the Internet, satellite, cable, mobile
phones and other technologies they require on a daily basis. This more
developed technology infrastructure allows for remote working and social
connectivity.”
United
Country has more than 4,000 agents and 700 offices located across the
United States
.
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